2010-12 period is the most lucrative for the Indian companies as 26 major drugs with total sales of $69 billion are set to lose patent protection.
Recently, US Pharma market, although the world’s largest was seen dwindling as it grew a meagre 1-2% in 2009, in comparison to emerging economies in Asia and Latin America, such as Brazil, Turkey and Mexico which have been growing at a healthy 14-15% annually.
But the impending patent expiries are set to turn the tide in favour of the US again.
Though it is common knowledge that the price of the drug drops by as much as 80-90% once the patent expires, estimates by HDFC Securities suggest that Indian Companies could be looking at an average potential of Rs. 12,000 crore per year.
Although, for that Indian companies aren’t the only one’s in fray. There is bound to be stiff competition from global generics players like Teva(Israel), Apotex (Canada), Sandoz (Germany) and Actavis (Iceland).
However, experts feel the scale will be tipped in favour of Indian Companies to some extent on account of the fact that production costs in India are 35-40% lower, mainly due to cheaper manpower.
Opportunities Galore.....
Drug | Innovator co | Indication | Annual sales(2008) | Patent expiry | Indian generics co |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cozaar | Merck | Blood pressure | $3.5 bn | 2010 | Ipca,DRl,Lupin |
Gemzar | Eli Lilly | Cancer | $1.7 bn | 2010 | Sun Pharma,DRL |
Aricept | Eisai | Alzheimer’s | $2.5 bn | 2010 | Ranbaxy,Sun,Torrent |
Lipitor | Pfizer | Cholesterol | $12.4 bn | 2011 | Ranbaxy,Lupin,Torrent |
Zyprexa | Eli Lilly | Schizophrenia | $4.7 bn | 2011 | Sun,Cipla,DRL |
Plavix | BMS | Heart diseases | $5.6 bn | 2011 | USV,Ipca,Aurobindo |
Seroquel | Astrazeneca | Schizophrenia | $4.5 bn | 2012 | Lupin, Cipla,Divi’s |
Viagra | Pfizer | Erectile Dysfunction | $1.9 bn | 2012 | Cadila, DRL, Hetero |
Singulair | Merck | Asthma | $4.3 bn | 2012 | DRL, Matrix |
Diovan HCT | Novartis | Hypertension | $5.7 bn | 2012 | Lupin, Ranbaxy, Alembic |
2 comments:
I welcome this and fear it all at the same time. I take Plavix and Lipitor. While I will save money when the generic forms are released, I am nervous about the quality of some generics.
dont worry, beth!! The generics have always been a great boost for the patients, and the FDA wont allow any spurious or low quality generic to enter the market!!
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